Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 15-27 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 33 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 30 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter