Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 31 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter