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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Williams * 40 6-13 0-3 6-7 13 5 1 1 18 - -
Miles Bridges * 39 9-19 0-3 2-2 9 4 1 1 20 - -
Brandon Miller * 36 11-21 4-8 0-1 10 3 0 1 26 - -
Vasilije Micic * 35 5-13 0-2 2-3 2 6 2 0 12 - -
Tre Mann * 29 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 6 - -
Davis Bertans 25 5-11 4-9 0-0 3 0 1 2 14 - -
Bryce McGowens 16 3-3 0-0 2-3 1 2 1 0 8 - -
JT Thor 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Marques Bolden 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 35 6-14 2-7 8-8 7 11 0 0 22 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 10-15 3-6 0-2 8 5 2 0 23 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 6-13 3-6 2-3 5 0 3 1 17 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 32 6-20 1-7 0-1 9 1 0 2 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 8 - -
Kelly Olynyk 26 0-4 0-2 4-4 4 4 2 2 4 - -
Gradey Dick 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Jordan Nwora 17 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
D.J. Carton 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jontay Porter 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter