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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +22 (113-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ausar Thompson * 33 2-10 1-6 3-4 6 1 3 1 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 4-7 1-3 1-2 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 4-9 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Jaden Ivey * 24 3-11 0-5 4-4 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Cade Cunningham * 22 4-12 1-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 9 - -
Simone Fontecchio 32 5-10 2-5 3-3 4 4 2 0 15 - -
Evan Fournier 26 6-13 3-8 2-2 1 5 1 0 17 - -
Marcus Sasser 25 1-8 0-5 1-1 3 4 2 0 3 - -
James Wiseman 15 4-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 32 10-16 1-4 8-9 8 5 0 0 29 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 5-7 2-3 7-7 8 3 1 2 19 - -
Jalen Suggs * 29 5-8 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 1 11 - -
Gary Harris * 29 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Franz Wagner * 28 5-10 0-1 3-5 8 1 0 2 13 - -
Markelle Fultz 16 8-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 16 - -
Joe Ingles 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Cole Anthony 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 13 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Jonathan Isaac 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Black 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Caleb Houstan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter