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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.3 (45.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +52 (140-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moses Moody * 19 5-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 19 2-9 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Stephen Curry * 16 2-13 0-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Draymond Green * 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Klay Thompson * 12 2-4 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Lester Quinones 33 7-16 3-10 0-0 5 0 0 0 17 - -
Gary Payton II 22 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Chris Paul 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 8 - -
Gui Santos 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 9 3 0 0 5 - -
Jerome Robinson 17 4-10 1-6 1-2 0 1 0 1 10 - -
Dario Saric 12 2-4 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney 10 0-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 1 7 - -
Jayson Tatum * 25 9-13 4-5 5-5 3 5 1 1 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 22 11-19 5-10 2-2 3 3 1 0 29 - -
Al Horford * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Derrick White * 19 5-6 4-5 0-0 3 8 1 0 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 8-12 3-5 0-0 6 6 2 0 19 - -
Oshae Brissett 19 3-7 0-1 0-2 8 2 2 1 6 - -
Sam Hauser 19 4-9 4-9 0-0 5 0 0 1 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Jaden Springer 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter