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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 39 8-15 1-5 7-7 2 3 2 0 24 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 11-19 3-6 3-4 5 1 1 0 28 - -
Kyle Lowry * 33 1-9 1-5 5-5 4 7 1 1 8 - -
Buddy Hield * 28 4-11 3-8 0-0 3 4 1 1 11 - -
Mo Bamba * 14 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 31 2-8 1-5 2-2 11 3 3 1 7 - -
Paul Reed 27 5-6 1-1 2-2 7 3 1 1 13 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 25 7-17 1-7 6-7 5 4 0 1 21 - -
KJ Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 40 14-27 4-10 6-6 11 10 1 0 38 - -
Kyrie Irving * 38 10-20 5-9 3-3 5 4 1 0 28 - -
P.J. Washington * 35 3-10 1-7 6-6 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Josh Green * 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Dereck Lively II * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 26 7-9 5-5 2-4 7 0 0 1 21 - -
Maxi Kleber 25 0-2 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 14 1-8 0-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Dante Exum 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter