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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (109-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 8-15 6-11 2-3 5 11 1 0 24 - -
Jalen Green * 37 12-23 6-12 4-4 9 4 2 0 34 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 36 5-11 2-7 2-4 5 1 1 1 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 4-10 2-6 1-2 6 3 2 1 11 - -
Alperen Sengun * 32 9-21 0-2 3-4 10 2 2 1 21 - -
Amen Thompson 20 3-5 0-0 3-3 5 3 4 0 9 - -
Jock Landale 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Cam Whitmore 10 1-6 0-2 2-4 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Jeff Green 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Aaron Holiday 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 12-19 1-4 5-8 9 2 0 3 30 - -
Devin Booker * 38 7-17 2-4 8-8 2 5 1 0 24 - -
Grayson Allen * 37 0-7 0-6 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 - -
Bradley Beal * 20 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 5 1 1 7 - -
Royce O'Neale 27 7-13 4-8 2-2 10 2 1 1 20 - -
Josh Okogie 16 2-3 0-1 3-3 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 10 2-8 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 5 - -
Thaddeus Young 9 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Saben Lee 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Theo Maledon 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter