Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (114-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 16-25 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 11-23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 10-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 36 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter