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2024-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 44 10-23 4-9 6-7 7 7 0 0 30 - -
Kris Murray * 38 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Toumani Camara * 36 5-10 3-4 2-4 7 1 1 1 15 - -
Duop Reath * 24 5-9 1-4 1-4 6 1 0 3 12 - -
Jerami Grant * 14 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Ashton Hagans 32 4-9 2-4 3-3 5 8 2 1 13 - -
Jabari Walker 31 8-16 0-1 2-2 12 2 1 0 18 - -
Matisse Thybulle 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 - -
Dalano Banton 12 4-8 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Rayan Rupert 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Williams Jr. * 38 7-14 4-7 3-4 8 2 2 3 21 - -
Santi Aldama * 37 7-15 5-9 2-3 8 3 0 1 21 - -
Ziaire Williams * 33 2-7 1-5 4-4 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 30 2-6 0-2 0-2 5 8 3 1 4 - -
Lamar Stevens * 16 3-11 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 1 7 - -
GG Jackson 31 4-15 1-5 8-10 6 1 2 0 17 - -
Luke Kennard 27 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 5 1 0 5 - -
Matt Hurt 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 7 - -
John Konchar 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 2 3 - -
Jake LaRavia 13 0-3 0-2 6-8 2 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter