Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (126-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 43 | 12-23 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 40 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 19 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 12-19 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 22 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter