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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -16 (97-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 16-22 2-3 12-16 16 6 1 1 46 - -
Damian Lillard * 33 4-18 3-10 5-5 3 7 0 0 16 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 4-8 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 1-7 1-7 1-2 6 2 1 0 4 - -
Jae Crowder * 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 - -
Bobby Portis 26 4-13 1-5 2-4 9 1 2 1 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 24 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Patrick Beverley 18 5-8 2-5 2-2 4 2 0 1 14 - -
AJ Green 8 2-3 1-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Danilo Gallinari 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 38 7-14 2-5 6-6 3 2 0 0 22 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 6-12 2-6 1-1 5 6 0 0 15 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 8-18 1-3 0-0 9 3 0 0 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 5-13 0-0 2-2 4 9 0 1 12 - -
Alex Caruso * 25 3-7 3-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Andre Drummond 24 4-11 0-0 1-1 10 0 1 1 9 - -
Onuralp Bitim 16 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Julian Phillips 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Jevon Carter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 - -

* = starter