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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 74.3% 25.7% -5.9 (32.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +27 (129-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 30 4-12 2-8 0-0 0 4 2 0 10 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 22 0-7 0-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 20 3-5 2-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Pascal Siakam * 20 5-10 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 12 - -
Myles Turner * 18 5-10 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 3 12 - -
Jarace Walker 26 2-9 2-4 0-0 7 6 3 3 6 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 20 4-10 1-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 13 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Isaiah Jackson 17 6-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 0 13 - -
Obi Toppin 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 11 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
James Johnson 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Kendall Brown 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oscar Tshiebwe 4 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 30 13-21 1-2 7-9 8 6 1 0 34 - -
Herbert Jones * 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 7-11 1-1 0-0 9 3 0 2 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 25 5-11 4-7 0-0 4 1 2 2 14 - -
Zion Williamson * 21 3-6 0-0 2-4 3 7 0 0 8 - -
Trey Murphy III 27 8-14 6-12 6-9 7 1 2 0 28 - -
Jose Alvarado 24 4-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 21 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Hawkins 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Matt Ryan 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter