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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (120-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 42 7-15 1-3 2-2 5 1 2 1 17 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 40 7-14 1-2 6-10 15 8 0 3 21 - -
Harrison Barnes * 40 6-12 2-5 0-2 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 3-12 2-7 0-0 6 4 0 0 8 - -
Keon Ellis * 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 7 4 1 2 - -
Malik Monk 33 16-29 5-8 2-4 4 4 1 0 39 - -
Davion Mitchell 25 7-8 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Trey Lyles 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 1 3 - -
Chris Duarte 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 5 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 44 9-11 5-7 3-4 7 1 0 0 26 - -
Rudy Gobert * 42 6-9 0-0 4-8 16 1 0 3 16 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 7-17 1-6 4-5 6 5 1 0 19 - -
Mike Conley * 35 4-8 1-3 5-6 3 8 2 0 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 18 2-11 1-3 6-6 2 2 0 1 11 - -
Naz Reid 36 8-18 1-6 1-1 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 2-5 2-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Monte Morris 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 4 - -

* = starter