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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (35.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -30 (92-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 33 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons * 25 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 8 0 0 7 - -
Kris Murray * 24 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 2 3 0 14 - -
Duop Reath * 23 8-16 2-8 0-1 5 1 2 2 18 - -
Toumani Camara * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 - -
Matisse Thybulle 26 5-10 1-4 2-2 3 2 3 0 13 - -
Ashton Hagans 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 5 1 3 6 - -
Jabari Walker 22 7-9 1-1 4-4 10 2 2 1 19 - -
Dalano Banton 20 8-15 3-5 0-0 7 3 1 2 19 - -
Moses Brown 8 3-3 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Rayan Rupert 7 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Ibou Badji 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Goodwin * 33 4-13 1-5 1-2 3 2 2 4 10 - -
Trey Jemison * 30 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Vince Williams Jr. * 28 3-7 0-0 2-5 2 5 0 2 8 - -
Santi Aldama * 27 3-10 0-4 0-0 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Ziaire Williams * 25 4-10 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Jake LaRavia 26 7-13 3-7 4-5 2 2 1 0 21 - -
GG Jackson 22 4-8 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Lamar Stevens 20 7-12 1-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 19 - -
Yuta Watanabe 17 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Matt Hurt 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter