Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -15 (105-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 9-22 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 27 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 24 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley * | 36 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| D.J. Carton | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter