Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +28 (138-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 9-23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 14-25 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 30 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 26 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter