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2024-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 15.3% 84.7% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (134-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 43 5-10 3-5 2-2 15 5 1 0 15 26 -
Kyle Kuzma * 37 7-16 4-8 2-2 10 4 1 3 20 22 -
Tyus Jones * 36 3-7 1-3 1-1 1 11 2 0 8 15 -
Marvin Bagley III * 33 11-14 1-1 0-1 4 1 0 2 23 16 -
Landry Shamet * 16 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 -1 -
Jordan Poole 38 13-26 5-12 3-4 3 7 1 1 34 20 -
Corey Kispert 27 8-15 2-7 2-2 6 6 1 0 20 18 -
Johnny Davis 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Richaun Holmes 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 6 -
Jules Bernard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 43 9-21 4-11 0-0 6 5 1 1 22 14 -
Anthony Davis * 41 14-22 0-0 12-13 15 4 1 3 40 41 -
Austin Reaves * 39 6-11 0-2 0-0 6 4 1 1 12 13 -
LeBron James * 38 12-24 2-5 5-7 4 9 1 1 31 22 -
Rui Hachimura * 35 4-11 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 8 7 -
Spencer Dinwiddie 25 3-5 2-3 2-3 0 3 0 0 10 8 -
Taurean Prince 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 -
Jaxson Hayes 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 7 -
Max Christie 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Cam Reddish 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter