Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 10-28 | 7-17 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 26 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 13-27 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter