Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✗ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (132-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 12-22 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 38 | 12-20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter