Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +21 (117-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 25 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 24 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 13-15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter