Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (125-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 11-20 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 11-23 | 1-8 | 7-9 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley * | 38 | 10-18 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 9-22 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 34 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 4-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter