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2024-02-29

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.9% 50.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (123-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 38 5-9 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 1 14 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 9-21 5-8 0-0 6 3 0 0 23 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 10-20 1-2 2-5 3 4 0 0 23 - -
Brandon Ingram * 28 8-20 1-5 13-13 6 4 0 0 30 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Murphy III 31 4-11 2-8 1-1 4 7 1 0 11 - -
Naji Marshall 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 2 0 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Jordan Hawkins 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 7-15 3-8 0-0 3 13 1 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 11-18 0-3 2-2 11 5 0 2 24 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 29 6-17 4-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 28 3-7 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Myles Turner * 26 5-11 0-2 4-4 10 0 1 2 14 - -
Ben Sheppard 26 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 1 2 1 11 - -
Obi Toppin 23 6-9 2-4 2-2 6 2 0 2 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 9 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Smith 18 4-9 0-3 1-1 7 1 0 1 9 - -

* = starter