Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (96-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 40 | 10-26 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ashton Hagans | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter