Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (112-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 15 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 11-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 11-21 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 22 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 20 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter