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2024-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +27 (124-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyonte George * 33 5-15 4-9 0-0 1 6 0 0 14 - -
Collin Sexton * 29 8-16 3-6 3-5 1 3 6 0 22 - -
Taylor Hendricks * 28 3-8 2-4 0-0 8 1 2 0 8 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 4-13 0-6 3-4 4 0 0 0 11 - -
John Collins * 22 2-8 0-3 1-1 10 2 0 1 5 - -
Walker Kessler 29 6-8 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 2 14 - -
Jordan Clarkson 26 2-10 0-3 2-2 1 8 1 0 6 - -
Brice Sensabaugh 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Kris Dunn 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 10 2-6 0-2 5-5 3 1 1 1 9 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 35 9-14 2-4 2-2 13 6 1 0 22 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 7-15 3-8 2-2 3 3 2 2 19 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 7-19 1-6 2-2 4 11 1 2 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 4-11 2-6 6-6 7 0 0 0 16 - -
Clint Capela * 24 4-9 0-0 1-2 13 0 1 3 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter 27 6-10 1-3 7-9 5 0 0 1 20 - -
Kobe Bufkin 21 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 7 - -
Bruno Fernando 18 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Garrison Mathews 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter