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2024-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% -
Margin 91.1% 8.9% -12.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (112-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 29 6-21 4-16 2-2 5 6 1 1 18 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 28 10-13 0-0 1-2 6 5 0 0 21 - -
Draymond Green * 28 1-4 1-2 3-4 8 8 0 0 6 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 28 3-8 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 1 7 - -
Moses Moody * 22 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 1 2 0 12 - -
Klay Thompson 27 9-16 6-11 1-1 3 4 0 0 25 - -
Chris Paul 21 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 6 4 0 9 - -
Gary Payton II 18 6-10 1-1 0-0 4 2 3 1 13 - -
Dario Saric 13 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Jerome Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 12-21 1-4 2-2 12 2 0 1 27 - -
Tyus Jones * 36 6-11 1-4 1-1 6 17 2 0 14 - -
Corey Kispert * 33 8-15 4-9 0-1 3 5 0 2 20 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 32 8-11 1-1 3-3 9 2 1 2 20 - -
Landry Shamet * 32 6-13 3-9 1-1 0 1 0 0 16 - -
Jordan Poole 29 5-17 2-8 0-0 3 5 2 0 12 - -
Richaun Holmes 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Jared Butler 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter