Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 17-29 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 12-24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 11-20 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 25 | 7-12 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter