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2024-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -8 (122-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 8-18 0-3 5-5 12 12 0 5 21 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 34 8-16 3-7 0-0 6 2 2 1 19 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 11-16 2-3 0-3 2 5 0 0 24 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 30 5-12 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 7-10 0-0 1-1 10 4 0 1 15 - -
Kelly Olynyk 23 2-4 1-2 2-4 2 5 1 0 7 - -
Gradey Dick 22 7-9 4-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 18 - -
Ochai Agbaji 19 4-7 1-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Bruce Brown 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 38 11-15 5-8 7-9 9 5 2 1 34 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 11-22 3-8 2-2 9 6 0 1 27 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 2-11 1-6 4-6 0 7 2 0 9 - -
Myles Turner * 26 5-8 2-3 4-6 11 1 0 2 16 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 26 5-14 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 10 - -
Obi Toppin 18 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 - -
Ben Sheppard 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Smith 14 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Doug McDermott 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter