Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -16 (103-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 13-24 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 6-19 | 1-10 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson | 30 | 7-15 | 5-13 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter