Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (110-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 9-22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 13-23 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 41 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 16 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter