Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +17 (109-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 30 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 20 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 38 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter