Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +22 (133-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 32 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 32 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 10-15 | 2-7 | 11-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 12 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter