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2024-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +10 (123-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 41 11-17 0-0 0-0 14 0 3 2 22 - -
LeBron James * 36 12-19 3-6 1-4 7 12 2 1 28 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 36 8-14 4-8 0-1 3 7 1 1 20 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 5-12 2-7 2-2 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Rui Hachimura * 26 5-9 2-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Taurean Prince 27 3-10 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Max Christie 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Skylar Mays 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 7-20 2-8 6-6 5 7 0 2 22 - -
Grayson Allen * 38 8-17 6-12 2-2 2 0 1 1 24 - -
Devin Booker * 38 8-18 1-4 4-4 3 9 1 0 21 - -
Royce O'Neale * 37 7-12 6-10 0-0 9 4 2 1 20 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 37 7-12 0-0 4-5 22 7 1 1 18 - -
Bol Bol 23 5-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 2 11 - -
Drew Eubanks 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 - -
Saben Lee 9 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter