Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (109-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 29 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 20 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 19 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 34 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 31 | 11-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter