Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (123-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 3-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 23 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 13-22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 31 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 29 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxwell Lewis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Hood-Schifino | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter