Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -15 (112-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 13-21 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 9-21 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 19 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 12 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ashton Hagans | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter