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2024-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (107-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 41 9-13 1-1 14-21 13 5 1 0 33 - -
Damian Lillard * 38 8-23 2-8 3-4 9 10 2 1 21 - -
Jae Crowder * 34 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 5-12 4-9 0-0 2 3 3 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 6-12 4-10 0-0 3 1 1 1 16 - -
Bobby Portis 21 7-13 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Patrick Beverley 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 - -
Danilo Gallinari 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 38 6-8 0-0 0-1 19 1 0 2 12 - -
Anthony Edwards * 37 10-27 4-12 4-6 9 5 1 0 28 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 9-22 3-9 1-2 14 3 1 0 22 - -
Mike Conley * 27 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 9 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 - -
Kyle Anderson 28 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 23 2-10 1-6 3-4 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 15 5-9 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 13 - -
Monte Morris 10 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter