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2024-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -2 (121-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 36 9-20 6-11 0-0 7 5 0 0 24 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 8-13 0-2 4-4 5 10 1 1 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 4-14 2-9 3-3 4 4 0 1 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 6-13 0-0 0-0 13 6 0 2 12 - -
Jordan Nwora * 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Bruce Brown 31 5-9 1-2 1-1 3 3 0 1 12 - -
Gradey Dick 21 8-13 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 18 - -
Kelly Olynyk 21 5-9 0-2 0-0 5 6 0 1 10 - -
Ochai Agbaji 16 5-6 4-5 0-0 4 0 1 1 14 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 37 6-13 0-2 0-3 12 4 1 3 12 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 10-18 0-4 4-4 10 7 1 0 24 - -
Trae Young * 35 4-13 2-6 1-2 3 7 0 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 34 6-15 4-7 2-2 9 1 0 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 19 1-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 5-17 3-11 1-1 4 5 2 0 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter 25 8-16 2-7 4-4 5 2 0 0 22 - -
Garrison Mathews 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 10 5-8 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 12 - -

* = starter