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2024-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +18 (128-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 33 6-15 3-9 3-4 5 9 2 0 18 19 -
Rui Hachimura * 32 3-8 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 2 8 8 -
Anthony Davis * 32 11-19 0-2 5-6 15 1 0 3 27 27 -
Taurean Prince * 31 5-10 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 12 8 -
Austin Reaves * 27 7-11 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 1 16 12 -
Max Christie 28 3-8 1-5 2-2 3 6 1 1 9 12 -
Jaxson Hayes 18 3-6 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 1 7 10 -
Spencer Dinwiddie 17 2-6 0-1 1-1 0 3 0 1 5 3 -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 5 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Skylar Mays 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Dylan Windler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 12-24 6-13 2-2 1 8 3 0 32 20 -
Brandin Podziemski * 27 3-12 2-6 2-2 9 1 0 0 10 8 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 8-14 2-5 2-2 3 2 1 1 20 13 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 24 5-12 1-3 1-2 3 3 1 0 12 7 -
Draymond Green * 21 3-5 2-2 0-0 7 5 0 1 8 16 -
Klay Thompson 28 1-9 1-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 4 -
Moses Moody 19 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 5 -
Dario Saric 15 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 6 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 14 8-10 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 2 17 15 -
Lester Quinones 13 2-5 0-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
Kevon Looney 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 7 -
Gui Santos 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jerome Robinson 3 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter