Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 12-25 | 6-8 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 27 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 30 | 4-17 | 3-9 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 21 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter