Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✗ (33.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +22 (127-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 23 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 27 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 24 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 11-22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter