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2024-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% -
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -8.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% -
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Log Adjusted 80.9% 19.1% -
Points Off/Def 70.2% 29.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -17 (112-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 8-17 5-10 4-6 7 5 3 0 25 - -
Derrick White * 33 9-14 5-10 5-5 3 5 2 3 28 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 7-12 3-5 4-6 5 5 1 1 21 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 5-16 2-9 2-2 4 1 1 3 14 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 3-5 2-3 1-2 3 6 2 1 9 - -
Al Horford 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Sam Hauser 14 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Luke Kornet 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 40 6-14 2-6 0-0 8 8 1 0 14 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 7-17 1-3 4-4 4 5 1 0 19 - -
Coby White * 35 6-17 4-9 4-4 2 4 1 0 20 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 10-19 0-3 2-2 14 2 0 0 22 - -
Alex Caruso * 29 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 5 2 1 12 - -
Julian Phillips 17 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Andre Drummond 17 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Jevon Carter 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Onuralp Bitim 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter