Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (123-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 13-21 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 36 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 29 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 14-27 | 6-11 | 7-7 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 5-13 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter