Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (129-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ausar Thompson * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 30 | 13-21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 10-18 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter