Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 15-17 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 7-21 | 3-13 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 29 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ziaire Williams * | 36 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 29 | 10-17 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 28 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter