Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +16 (116-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ausar Thompson * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 20 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 25 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tosan Evbuomwan | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter