Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (98-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 42 | 12-26 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter