Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 30 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 10-12 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 29 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 24 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 20 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter