Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (125-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 16 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 25 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 12-22 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 10 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter