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2024-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 9-16 0-1 6-7 2 6 0 0 24 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 39 4-16 1-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 9 - -
Coby White * 39 11-17 5-8 5-6 7 4 1 0 32 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 33 4-10 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 4-9 0-0 2-2 15 0 1 1 10 - -
Alex Caruso 25 3-6 2-4 2-2 2 3 2 1 10 - -
Torrey Craig 21 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Dalen Terry 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 38 8-21 2-8 12-13 6 7 2 0 30 - -
Jarrett Allen * 35 6-9 0-1 1-2 10 3 1 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 30 4-10 2-5 2-2 1 7 1 0 12 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 6-8 1-1 1-2 9 0 1 1 14 - -
Max Strus * 29 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Isaac Okoro 26 6-11 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Georges Niang 24 5-9 1-5 0-2 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Caris LeVert 23 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 9 0 0 5 - -

* = starter